Why Regression Models Are Inappropriate for Heterogeneous Populations, Why Traditional Thinking in Modeling Cannot Get Us Where We Need to Be, and The Type of Thinking That Can
Why Regression Models Are Inappropriate for Heterogeneous Populations, Why Traditional Thinking in Modeling Cannot Get Us Where We Need to Be, and The Type of Thinking That Can
We cannot have accurate predictions when even our best predictors are irrelevant for some patients. Even testing for interaction terms or subgroup analyses fall short of the potential I discovered.
We cannot have accurate predictions when they are weaponized to scare humanity into compliance with laws designed to destroy humanity, not protect it.
With regulatory capture we are more vulnerable than when we had no water treatment, sanitary facilities, refrigeration or credible police authority. In those days a person could avoid water that seemed contaminated. How does one avoid a mandated poison.
Every model stands or falls on how close it matches empirical observation.
The closer a model comes to the empirical data, the better the model. Yet for all models the essential understanding is that the model is the theory. The data--and only the data--is the reality.
We cannot have accurate predictions when they are weaponized to scare humanity into compliance with laws designed to destroy humanity, not protect it.
With regulatory capture we are more vulnerable than when we had no water treatment, sanitary facilities, refrigeration or credible police authority. In those days a person could avoid water that seemed contaminated. How does one avoid a mandated poison.
Every model stands or falls on how close it matches empirical observation.
The closer a model comes to the empirical data, the better the model. Yet for all models the essential understanding is that the model is the theory. The data--and only the data--is the reality.