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Fla Mom's avatar

It was obvious from the get-go because they were testing asymptomatic people for an acute respiratory infection, contra every other case definition for ARIs, which always start with compatible signs and symptoms that are confirmed by testing. Bayes' Theorem, anyone? Thought experiment using an extreme example to illustrate Bayes' Theorem: If you test biological males for pregnancy, and any turn up positive, are they more likely to be true or false positives? Now the reverse: If you test biological women who appear to be in the end-stages of normal pregnancy, and any turn up positive, are they more likely to be true or false positives?

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Michael Kramer's avatar

The emergency room at a local hospital takes a temperature test, if no fever no VOVID! My mom was diagnosed wit bacterial pneumonia, given ZPak and what was funny the COVID 19 seating section was empty, and while waiting 6 hours for her release, not 1 case was diagnosed! Looks like the funds ran out for false positives!

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